Gartner linkbait? Android to beat iPhone in market share

By Richi Jennings. September 10, 2010.

Gosh! Gartner Group gets aggressive with the market share statistics! Apparently Android's aiming to 'ammer Apple's iPhone this year. And within four or five years, it could even beat Symbian in the entire phone OS market. Not bad for a mere stripling, eh? In IT Blogwatch, bloggers boggle.

Your humble blogwatcher curated these bloggy bits for your entertainment. Not to mention an Idiotic take on the Samsung Galaxy Tab...


Matt Hamblen brings the news:

Android will edge out Research In Motion's BlackBerry and Apple's iOS for ... 2010 to become the second-best-selling mobile operating system globally behind ... Symbian, according to ... Gartner ... [and] that by 2014, Android will be neck-and-neck with ... Symbian.


Gartner said open-source platforms such as Android will dominate more than 60% of the market for smartphones by 2014, while ... Apple iOS and BlackBerry will grow ... below the market average. ... iOS will finish fourth in 2010, with ... a 15.4% share ... [of] mobile phones.

In case you missed that, Andrew Munchbach puts it a different way:

Electronics research firm Gartner is predicting that: “The worldwide mobile operating system market will be dominated by Symbian and Android ... [with] 59.8 percent of mobile OS sales by 2014.” The study goes onto predict that Android will oust ... Research In Motion from the number two spot at some point this year and will contest ... Symbian for the top spot in 2014.

Quentyn Kennemer cheers:

Yay, research and analytics! ... Gartner ... last year predicted Android would be the second-most adopted mobile operating system by 2012. I guess Android did a lot better than they originally expected. ... A year ago, it sounded crazy. So did Android growing by 900%, and look how that turned out.


This is a projection of Android’s true install base over time. ... According to them, [Android will] be beaten only by Nokia. ... Symbian OS has been on the market much longer ... and in a variety of devices ranging from low to high end (with origins dating back to the late 1980s).

And Jacqui Cheng puts it all in context:

This year has already been filled with reports ... about Android's rise to the top ... and there are undoubtedly more tales to come as Android phones continue to flood the marketplace.


This isn't to say the other players won't be doing their share. ... iOS 4.x, as well as ... BlackBerry OS 6, Symbian 3 and Symbian 4, and Windows Phone 7 will all make positive contributions to smartphone growth.

But Seth Weintraub thinks Gartner is wrong, wrong, WRONG! ... kinda:

IDC ... earlier this week said that Android would be exploding ... by 2014 ... Android will be on a quarter of all smartphones, behind only Symbian. ... Gartner this morning took it one step further.


Symbian is, in a lot of cases, barely a smartphone OS. ... Even if you leave in the Symbian "feature phones" in the numbers, Android's recent growth isn't a fluke. ... Android is just starting to go global. .... Popular Android 'superphones' are just entering China, the world's biggest mobile market. ... Every month, more high end Android phones get launched in the US. ... There are still people in the US with two year plans that have never had a buying cycle while Android existed.


Even Windows Phone 7, which has sold a total of 0 devices, seems more promising than Blackberry and Nokia at this point. ... iPhone will continue to grow but high cost and Apple's ... pickiness will keep it from becoming a dominant player.

So someone asked Sarah Perez if Android's on the path to world domination, officially:

Yes, Android is officially on the path to world domination.


Principal analyst Roberta Cozza at Gartner ... explains that several manufacturers ... will adopt Android as the OS for their new budget devices, which will help Android achieve number one status in North America.


Popularity begets even more popularity. Service providers that reduce the number of platforms they offer ... will also reduce their support costs ... allowing the OS to make even more gains.


And Finally (as if to prove a point)...


Don't miss out on IT Blogwatch:

Richi Jennings, your humble blogwatcher
  Richi Jennings is an independent analyst/consultant, specializing in blogging, email, and security. A cross-functional IT geek since 1985, you can follow him as @richi on Twitter, pretend to be richij's friend on Facebook, or just use good old email:

You can also read Richi's full profile and disclosure of his industry affiliations.

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