Report: Apple could launch Snow Leopard in two weeks
'Why not ship earlier if you can?' says analyst of possible OS debut this month
Computerworld - Apple has wrapped up work on Snow Leopard, the Mac OS X operating system upgrade, and may release it earlier than expected, according to numerous reports on the Web.
John Gruber, who writes the Daring Fireball blog and has accurately pegged other Apple moves in the past, said that his sources have put the release of Mac OS X 10.6, a.k.a. Snow Leopard, at Aug. 28, just over two weeks away.
One prominent analyst was dubious about an August release. "Early September would be early," countered Gene Munster, an analyst at Piper Jaffray & Co. who covers Apple.
Another analyst, however, was willing to bet on an early launch. "Why not ship early if you can? It feels good and looks good [for Apple]," said Ezra Gottheil of Technology Business Research Inc. "And, unlike the old days, you don't have to wait for the ink in the manuals to dry." In June, Apple announced it would ship Snow Leopard in September and unveiled lower-than-usual prices of $29 for a single license and $49 for a five-license "family pack." Snow Leopard preorders on Amazon.com grabbed that online retailer's top two software-bestseller spots two weeks ago. As of early Thursday, the $29 edition retained the No. 1 place on the list, while the $49 Family Pack held down the No. 3 spot.
Apple has not yet revealed Snow Leopard's on-sale date.
Earlier this week, several Apple-oriented Web sites reported that the company had completed development of Snow Leopard and that Apple engineers had signed off on the actual release build, dubbed "golden master" in Apple-speak. U.S.-based MacRumors, for example, said it had confirmed that Apple tagged build 10A432 as the likely release candidate, following a similar report by the French site Mac4Ever.com (Google Translate translation).
Analysts who have created projections for Snow Leopard sales say that the upgrade will boost Apple's software revenues, but because of the low prices -- Apple has traditionally priced a single-license upgrade at $129 -- the impact will be minor.
"I am conservatively assuming 3 million copies to be sold at $29 in the September 2009 quarter," said analyst Brian Marshall of Broadpoint AmTech, who pointed out that Apple sold 2 million copies of Mac OS X 10.5, a.k.a. Leopard, in the first weekend of sales in October 2007. "Now the installed base is much larger and the [average sales price] is down significantly," he added.
Andrew Murphy, another Piper Jaffray analyst, agreed that the Snow Leopard "bump" would be much less significant than Leopard's. "We are modeling for Apple's total software sales of $615 million in the September 2009 quarter, when Snow Leopard launches, compared to $628 million in the December 2007 quarter, when Leopard launched," he said.
Gottheil said Apple should sell about 2.5 million copies of Snow Leopard in September, generating an additional $171 million for the company.
Snow Leopard requires an Intel-based Mac and Mac OS X 10.5; users running Mac OS X 10.4, known as Tiger, must instead purchase the more expensive "Mac Box Set," which Amazon is also currently selling as a preorder. A single-license box set is priced at $169 and includes Snow Leopard, iLife and iWork -- the last being Apple's productivity suite. A five-license box set retails for $229.
Mac OS X Snow Leopard
- OS X Snow Leopard desertion rate accelerates after patches stop
- Apple signals end to OS X Snow Leopard support
- Apple sneaks Safari update into Snow Leopard
- OS X Snow Leopard stubbornly rejects retirement
- Snow Leopard users: Just try to pry this from my cold, dead hands
- Apple goes against grain, extends support for Snow Leopard
- Mac users left wondering if OS X Snow Leopard's retired
- Opinion: In depth with Apple's Snow Leopard Server
- Apple fixes data deletion bug in Snow Leopard, blocks Atom 'hackintoshes'
- Smackdown: Windows 7 takes on Apple's Snow Leopard
Read more about Mac OS X in Computerworld's Mac OS X Topic Center.
- Cloud Computing Drives IT and Business Agility Hybrid Cloud Accelerates Time to Value What is the main focus for IT in your organization - cost or agility? Many IT discussions today focus on cost controls rather...
- Infographic:10 Reasons to Choose vCloud Air Looking to create an agile, productive, and efficient IT environment? Read this simple infographic to learn about the benefits that VMware vCloud® Air™...
- Data Visualization Techniques: From Basics to Big Data with SAS Visual Analytics This paper discusses some of the basic issues concerning data visualization, from data size and column composition, to solving unique challenges presented by...
- 5 Hybrid Cloud Starting Points Did you know that more than 50% of organizations are already using or planning a move to hybrid cloud?
- Cloud BI in Action: Recorded Webinar of Customer, Kony, Inc. See how Kony, Inc., a leading enterprise mobility company, is using TIBCO Jaspersoft for Amazon Web Services and Redshift to achieve embedded analytics...
- Cloud BI Overview: Jaspersoft for AWS Check out this overview of Jaspersoft for AWS, to easily and affordably build business intelligence solutions as well as embed visualizations and analytics... All Mac OS X White Papers | Webcasts