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Next for VMware? Desktop Virtualization Takes Off in 2010

By Kevin Fogarty
August 3, 2009 02:25 PM ET

CIO - Virtualized infrastructures may be "the mainframe for the 21st century," as VMware CTO Stephen Herrod said in April, but the company will move increasingly toward virtualization and management of smaller devices during the next year or two.

The strategy won't change much about the way the company currently operates, according to VMware executives and analysts who follow the company. But VMware will begin to make more noise about its plans for desktop and mobile virtualization products beginning with the VMworld conference in San Francisco Aug. 31.

[ For timely virtualization news and expert advice on strategy, see CIO.com's Virtualization Drilldown section. ]

The company may announce at that point its plans for the next edition of its VMware View desktop virtualization products and plans to add virtualization clients for a variety of smartphones and other handheld devices to enable them to become secure, managed participants in mainstream corporate applications, according to sources familiar with the company's plans.

VMware executives wouldn't comment on specific announcements, but did say the company would continue to push development of the desktop virtualization market and its products for that market, with the expectation that sales will begin to take off starting in mid-2010 to 2011.

"I'm a huge believer in the desktop opportunity," says Tod Nielsen, VMware's chief operating officer.

"Every IT executive I see talks about those 500 million desktops in the enterprise," he says. "They hate them. They're hard to provision, hard to manage, hard to secure, and if they have to go touch every one of them to accomplish something, it's a big problem."

Despite recent enhancements that allow virtual desktops to operate even disconnected from the server that controls them, sales of VMware View have been relatively slow, and the market for desktop virtualization in general is not growing quickly, Nielsen says.

"On our earnings call [CEO] Paul [Maritz] said 20% to 30% of our sales time is spent on proof of concept of desktop virtualization," Nielsen says. "We don't think that's going to be a revenue kicker until 2010 and into 2011. 2009 is more about proof of concept; 2010 is when this race is really going to take off."

Desktop virtualization means more to VMware than just control of laptops and PCs, however, Nielsen says. It also includes handhelds, smartphones and a range of other devices that could become highly mobile, wide-area-networked clients for mainstream business applications, if customers take to the handheld-virtualization technology VMware is developing following its acquisition in November of the French Trango Virtual Processors, whose Mobile Virtualization Platform could put a lightweight version of VMware's ESX on iPhones, Blackberries, Windows Mobile and other mobile operating systems.

This story is reprinted from CIO.com, an online resource for information executives. Story Copyright CXO Media Inc., 2010. All rights reserved.
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