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Google Flu Trends spreads privacy concern

Privacy groups question lack of transparency with method used to predict outbreaks

December 9, 2008 12:00 PM ET

Computerworld - Google's new Flu Trends tool, which collects and analyzes search queries to predict flu outbreaks around the country, is raising concern with privacy groups.

The Electronic Privacy Information Center filed a Freedom of Information Act request asking federal officials to disclose how much user search data the company has recently transmitted to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or CDC, as part of its Google Flu Trends effort.

Concern stems from what privacy groups claim is a disturbing lack of transparency surrounding the method Google is using to predict flu outbreaks. Google has publicly stated that all the data used is made anonymous and is aggregated, but there has been no independent verification of how search queries are used and transformed into data for Google Flu Trends, said the privacy groups.

"What we are basically saying is that if Google has found a way to ensure that aggregate search data cannot be used to re-identify the people who provided the search information, they should be transparent about that technique," said Marc Rotenberg, Electronic Privacy Information Center's president.

Rotenberg said the issue is important because the same techniques Google is using to predict flu outbreaks could be applied to tracking other serious diseases, such as SARS. "Let's say we have a spike in Detroit of SARS and the police say we want to know who in Detroit submitted those searches. How can Google ensure that this can't be done? The burden is on Google," Rotenberg said.

Publicly disclosed in November, Google Flu Trends has been described by the company as a Web tool to help individuals and health care professionals obtain influenza-related activity estimates for all U.S. states, up to two weeks faster than traditional government disease surveillance systems.

Google said in a blog post introducing Flu Trends last month that search queries such as "flu symptoms" tend to be very common during flu season each year. A comparison of the number of such queries with the actual number of people reporting flu-like symptoms shows a very close relationship, it said. As a result, tallying each day's flu-related searches in a particular geography allows the company to estimate how many people have a flu-like illness in that region.

Google also noted that it had shared results from Flu Trends with the epidemiology and prevention branch of the influenza division at the CDC during the last flu season and noticed a strong correlation between its own estimates and the CDC's surveillance data based on actual reported cases. Google said that by making flu estimates available each day, Google Flu Trends could provide epidemiologists with an early-warning system for flu outbreaks.



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