Ultimately, though, this will lead to somewhat larger mobile devices that are more appropriate for watching video, he added.
"We'll see an evolutionary split where one branch will get smaller -- kind of like phones as jewelry," Smith said. "But for media and other applications, like mapping, you need a larger screen."
One type of media that won't succeed is mobile television, despite the fact that cellular operators have been touting it vigorously.
"There's a lot of noise out there, but things aren't very far along in terms of broadcast to mobile devices," Smith said.
Gartner's Dulaney was even more dubious.
"We'll see a lot more experiments with mobile television," Dulaney predicts. "Personally, I think it's a joke. I've watched TV on a phone. It's OK, but you can't see much, and if you have to pay, well. ..."
Read more about Mobile/Wireless in Computerworld's Mobile/Wireless Topic Center.
Free Insider GuideCopyright © 1994 - 2013 Computerworld Inc. All rights reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part in any form or medium without express written permission of Computerworld Inc. is prohibited. Computerworld and Computerworld.com and the respective logos are trademarks of International Data Group Inc.
